“MEGACHANGE”, a new book from The Economist, imagines how the world will look in 2050. At our recent Ideas Economy: Innovation event the book’s editor, Daniel Franklin, provided a summary of its findings
This graphic wonderfully illustrates what futurists endeavor to do.
Planning for the future predicted by our current data leaves us vulnerable to unexpected derailments. Embracing uncertainty and preparing for the implausible gives us the chance to choose a better worldIt is really interesting to find a defense for my area of futures thinking, in the Guardian. Normally I would see this as a sign of increasing acknowledgement of the relevance of the discipline. Judging from all other signals I unfortunately thinks this is most likely just another shot in the dark in the total future-present confusion we are currently experiencing. A phenomenon which comes from the breakdown of the basic mental models we used to understand the world for the last centuries.
(via kdnewman)
A biologists grim view for the future of humanity.
Biologist Paul Ehrlich gives dire prediction for global civilization
“We’re a small-group animal, both genetically and culturally. We have evolved to relate to groups of somewhere between 50 and 150 people,” he said. “And now suddenly we’re trying to live in a group not of 150 or 100 people, but of seven billion people, somewhat over seven billion people at the moment, and that is presenting us with a whole array of problems.”
Full story: VTDigger
The Economists take on the future in 2050.
Redacteur van The Economist Daniel Franklin vertelt hoe de wereld veranderd is in 2050, bij deze lezing voor zijn boek MEGACHANGE.
(via citycollaboration:)
Imagining the world in 2050
“MEGACHANGE”, a new book from The Economist, imagines how the world will look in 2050. At our recent Ideas Economy: Innovation event the book’s editor, Daniel Franklin, provided a summary of its findings
Michio Kaku: What does the future look like? (A very informative clip).
An interesting look at who looks to the future most.
Which countries are the most forward thinking? See it visualised | News | guardian.co.uk
Gerd adds: well, I don’t know about this study, frankly -I am from Germany and live in Switzerland (the 2 top countries) and I really can’t see how these 2 countries would rate #1 and 2, like this - does not feel that way at all, here. Someone enlighten me? Maybe analyzing Google queries just isn’t the right way to approach this (Algorithm Failure:==)
Thanks to Earl de Blonville for sending this link, btw.

(via futuristgerd)
(via futuristgerd)
An interesting look at future tech for the next 150 years.
An interesting look at future tech trends.
IBM 2012 Tech Trends Report now available
IBM has published its 2012 Tech Trends Report: Fast Track to the Future based on a survey of over 1,200 IT professionals worldwide. Mobile is featured prominently in the report. Key insights from the study:
- Only one in 10 organizations surveyed reported that they have all the skills they need for the four emerging technologies (cloud computing, business analytics, mobile computing and social business)
- Business analytics and mobile are leading in deployment with roughly 50 percent of survey respondents having deployed
- 49 percent of respondents have deployed mobile
- Top three barriers to adoption of mobile according to those surveyed: Security (61 percent); integration of Mobile with existing infrastructure and data (44 percent); and difficulty extending existing applications to Mobile (38 percent)
- 69 percent plan to increase mobile investment in the next two years, with 35 percent planning to increase it 10 percent or more
- Over the next two years, 31 percent of respondents will start allowing BYOD – making it the norm for 76 percent of respondents
- 43 percent of respondents say their IT security policies don’t meet the needs of mobile computing
(via emergentfutures)
Another great visualization by Michell Zappa on the future of finance.
An interesting new management trend as predicted by Gartner - the rise of Chief Digital Officers.
Gartner predicts that by 2015, about a quarter of all companies will have created a new seat at the senior executive table–the Chief Digital Officer. Gartner’s prediction is based on the major transformation underway as companies are digitizing both their sources of revenue as well as their services.
The research group said this is happening because “organizations are digitizing segments of business, such as moving marketing spend from analog to digital, or digitizing the research and development budget.” Also, Gartner says, organizations are digitizing how they service their clients, in order to drive higher client retention. Thirdly, it says, they are turning digitization into new revenue streams. As a result, of these changes, every budget is becoming an IT budget, and the Chief Digital Officer is becoming a logical addition to business leadership.
I had not heard much about the Chief Digital Officer until I read about Gartner’s prediction. But, the more I’ve thought about it, the more I like the concept. Chief Digital Officer succinctly captures the future direction of the CIO role.
(via kdnewman)
An interesting look at future tech trends as published in Scientific America.
1. Artificial organisms made from man-made molecules
Forget DNA. We might be able to create life from a set of molecules from XNAs that have the same double-helix structure of deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) or ribonucleic acid (RNA). XNA stands for xeno nucleic acid, xeno meaning “foreign.” What makes XNA special is that scientists can create enzymes that enable them to evolve, so XNA can become better at a task, such as attaching itself to a protein.
SciAm says that:
“The fact that XNA is complementary to DNA, yet structurally unique, makes it immediately useful for medicine, biotechnology and biology research. Holliger imagines XNAs that could be injected into the human body to detect early, subtle signs of disease that current technologies miss.“
2. Injectable microbubbles that restore breathing
Within a few minutes of someone stopping breathing, the brain starts to shut down, immediately putting the patient at risk for cardiac arrest and death. Currently, the only solution is to insert a breathing tube into the patient’s mouth, which can take precious minutes.
A new foam-like solution could help buy a crucial 15 minutes or more. Containing oxygen microbubbles, it can be absorbed by the blood within seconds.
SciAm reports:
In a test, researchers blocked the airways of anesthetized rabbits for 15 minutes. Those injected with the solution were much less likely to go into cardiac arrest or have other organ damage than those who got saline solution—despite not taking a single breath.
3. A cheaper way to clean wastewater
We create a lot of wastewater in realms as diverse as cities, industrial processes and agricultural work. A promising new solution could make the process of cleaning it up much cheaper and less energy-intensive.
Decanoic acid, when heated, absorbs water but also leaves behind contaminants, which can then easily be skimmed away. Cooling the acid then releases the water, making it easy to reuse.
The biggest test will be to create a process that is cheaper than simply dumping the water, which is the most common method for dealing with wastewater.
4. Popping pills to prevent Alzheimer’s
In Colombia, in a family of 300 distantly related people, a single genetic mutation predicts whether members will come down with Alzheimer’s. A study of this family will test early intervention in the form of a drug called crenezumab, to see if it keeps the disease at bay. About three dozen Americans possessing other genetic mutations linked to Alzheimer’s will also be tested to make sure that the results of the Colombia study can be extrapolated to people with other genetic markers for Alzheimer’s.
RELATED: First large-scale trial of Alzheimer’s prevention drug announced
5. Genome sequencing for fetuses
With one blood sample from the mother, researchers can now get a fetus’s complete genetic sequence. Such screening could detect single-gene disorders such as cystic fibrosis or Tay-Sachs disease long before a fetus is born. That, in turn would give doctors time to try out possible prenatal therapies. This new approach is especially groundbreaking because it does not endanger the life of the mother, nor does it require a trained obstetricians. As Scientific American says, “Some researchers envision do-it-yourself kits that mothers would send to a lab.”
6. A single sustainability index for products
How do you compare the environmental impact of, say, a bottle of laundry detergent versus an LCD screen? The Sustainability Consortium, a group of 10 universities, non-profits and 80 international companies including Walmart and Coca-Cola, are creating an index that includes every step of the supply chain. The group has already released the measure it will use to evaluate its first 100 products.
Right now, a similar rating system, Good Guide, is based solely on public information. The new system would take into account “emissions, waste, labor practices, water usage and other sensitive factors that will become available only as large corporate players exert pressure on suppliers to disclose them,” says Scientific American.
7. ‘Reality mining’ from smartphones
While this gets into a privacy minefield, all the data on us that our smartphones track could, of course, improve knowledge of consumer behavior, plus have public health advantages. For example, relief agencies in Haiti were able to use the location histories logged by cell phones to text users who might have been exposed to cholera. (See: Study finds two ways to forecast cholera outbreaks.) It could also help improve traffic and the electric grid — as long as consumers are willing to share more of this data.
RELATED: License plate tracking: innovation or privacy invasion?
8. Running medical implants on the sugar in our bodies
Pacemakers usually run on lithium batteries, which means they must be replaced every five to 15 years through surgery. But biofuel cells that run on glucose have been shown to work in snails. They may soon work in our own bodies, powering nano-sized medical implants that run on glucose and dispensing targeted drugs.
9. Flexible, wearable electronics
We may soon be able to wear circuits on our bodies like tattoos or wear clothing that has circuits woven into it. One application includes monitoring a person’s vitals and transmitting the readings wirelessly; one NASCAR driver already tested this out, with a patch that tracked his hydration levels, since NASCAR drivers can roast in a cockpit for hours. Another application of interest to the U.S. Army would be to produce flexible solar cells that can be integrated into soldiers’ clothing and backpacks. (Read about an electronic sensor as sensitive as human skin.)
RELATED: Video: Electronics that wrinkle and stretch like skin
10. Civilian uses for drones
The eyes that peer down from the skies won’t only be doing so for the military. As SciAm reports, “civilian enthusiasts are getting into the act, too; they have customized drones to nab polluters, inspect drilling rigs, and take stunning pictures for movies and real estate listings.” They may even be used for journalism, to report on traffic jams or to detect when crops need water.
New advances in drone technology will make this revolution in our skies possible. Smartphone chips are enabling hobbyists to turn radio-controlled aircraft into inexpensive but sophisticated autopilots. The FAA is working with companies to ensure that drones can sense and avoid other flying objects and developing final rules, which are expected to be released in 2015.
(via climate-changing)